Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.002211 0.002333 0.002464 0.002613 0.002779 0.002960 0.003174
2025-03-09 0.001990 0.002154 0.002336 0.002557 0.002818 0.003124 0.003515
2025-03-16 0.001889 0.002086 0.002314 0.002602 0.002965 0.003417 0.004046
2025-03-23 0.001807 0.002028 0.002291 0.002636 0.003091 0.003694 0.004605
2025-03-30 0.001715 0.001947 0.002229 0.002609 0.003130 0.003856 0.005031
2025-04-06 0.001621 0.001855 0.002144 0.002542 0.003103 0.003915 0.005305
2025-04-13 0.001556 0.001793 0.002092 0.002512 0.003121 0.004037 0.005707
2025-04-20 0.001460 0.001688 0.001977 0.002387 0.002987 0.003906 0.005630
2025-04-27 0.001420 0.001653 0.001952 0.002384 0.003034 0.004066 0.006130
2025-05-04 0.001406 0.001650 0.001968 0.002439 0.003170 0.004393 0.007077
2025-05-11 0.001374 0.001620 0.001947 0.002437 0.003217 0.004571 0.007767
2025-05-18 0.001364 0.001620 0.001966 0.002495 0.003366 0.004962 0.009181
2025-05-25 0.001324 0.001580 0.001928 0.002469 0.003378 0.005104 0.010055
2025-06-01 0.001279 0.001532 0.001877 0.002420 0.003345 0.005152 0.010690
2025-06-08 0.001265 0.001524 0.001884 0.002462 0.003479 0.005587 0.013135
2025-06-15 0.001248 0.001513 0.001885 0.002492 0.003595 0.006016 0.016319
2025-06-22 0.001217 0.001481 0.001853 0.002468 0.003605 0.006191 0.018612
2025-06-29 0.001179 0.001437 0.001802 0.002408 0.003538 0.006152 0.019519
2025-07-06 0.001152 0.001408 0.001771 0.002381 0.003534 0.006285 0.022142
2025-07-13 0.001104 0.001347 0.001692 0.002267 0.003347 0.005881 0.019572
2025-07-20 0.001087 0.001330 0.001678 0.002264 0.003387 0.006124 0.023503
2025-07-27 0.001083 0.001333 0.001694 0.002314 0.003539 0.006740 0.035883
2025-08-03 0.001067 0.001317 0.001681 0.002312 0.003582 0.007041 0.048856